Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -9 (75-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 26 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 11-11 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| K. Miller | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Y. Paige | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Streimikyte | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. White | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Williams | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Jackson | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Benningfield | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Massaline | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Pierson | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Robinson | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. DeForge | 21 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 10-10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 21 | - |
| B. Snell | 20 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Williams | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| G. Jackson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Christensen | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 7 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Irvin | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter