Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.2% | 24.8% | -6.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Siena Saints +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 39 | 7-26 | 5-18 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 | - |
| R. Taylor | 34 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| T. Mouton | 32 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| E. Muniz | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J. Thompson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Minyem | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Naughton | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Pereira | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McClinton | 37 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 25 | - |
| A. Fisher | 37 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| B. Sniezyk | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Ryan | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| G. Holle | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Jordan | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Fisher | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter