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2005-05-12

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 31 6-13 3-6 5-6 3 4 1 1 5 20 11 -
A. DeForge 29 6-16 3-6 4-6 3 2 0 0 2 19 6 -
P. Pierson 22 2-4 0-0 4-6 8 2 2 0 3 8 13 -
B. Snell 20 2-7 1-5 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
G. Jackson 18 2-5 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
A. Robinson 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 0 2 9 -
S. Irvin 11 1-3 1-1 1-4 5 1 0 1 2 4 6 -
T. Moore 9 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 4 0 0 0 4 6 -
R. Williams 7 0-0 0-0 0-3 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Wright 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
L. Taylor 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
A. Williams 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 2 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lawson 28 4-9 2-4 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 10 3 -
N. Powell 23 3-9 2-6 2-3 4 0 0 2 0 10 7 -
C. Newton 20 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
M. Lijie 17 2-5 1-2 4-6 3 3 1 0 0 9 11 -
O. Scott 16 2-5 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 -
H. Maiga-Ba 15 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
E. Buescher 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 4 2 -
K. Haynie 13 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 4 7 -
H. Grima 12 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
C. Anderson 11 2-6 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 1 3 4 0 -
C. Greenwalt 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
D. Walker 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
R. Brunson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter