Model Predictions
| Model | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (102-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bethel * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Justin Gray * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Levy * | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Vytas Danelius * | 16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Taron Downey | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Trent Strickland | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Chris Ellis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Visser | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Scott Feather | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Richard Joyce | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Redick * | 40 | 9-15 | 6-10 | 14-15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 29 | - |
| S. Williams * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Daniel Ewing * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Sean Dockery * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Randolph * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lee Melchionni | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| DeMarcus Nelson | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Love | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Davidson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter