Model Predictions
| Model | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (102-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bethel * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| E. Williams * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Gray * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| J. Levy * | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| V. Danelius * | 16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Downey | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T. Strickland | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Ellis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Visser | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Feather | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Joyce | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 40 | 9-15 | 6-10 | 14-15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 29 | - |
| S. Williams * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| D. Ewing * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Randolph * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Nelson | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Love | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Davidson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter