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2005-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 30.4% 69.6% +4.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% -
Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Vaden * 39 6-11 4-5 2-2 2 2 3 0 0 18 14 -
M. Strickland * 35 4-7 4-6 2-3 3 5 0 0 1 14 14 -
B. Wright * 28 1-8 1-4 4-6 7 2 0 1 2 7 7 -
A.J. Ratliff * 22 3-4 2-3 3-4 5 2 1 0 2 11 13 -
D.J. White 24 4-7 0-0 2-3 1 1 1 1 2 10 5 -
E. Suhr 18 3-4 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 9 10 -
R. Wilmont 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
P. Ewing Jr. 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
S. Kline 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 39 5-11 2-4 3-3 7 3 1 0 3 15 12 -
R. Coleman * 36 4-11 4-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 12 2 -
G. Brown * 24 3-5 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
S. Harrell * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
C. Hunter * 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Andrews 25 2-4 0-2 3-3 2 4 1 0 2 7 8 -
B. Petway 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
C. Sims 22 6-8 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 12 12 -
D. Wohl 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter