Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -7 (63-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Vaden * | 39 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Marshall Strickland * | 35 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Bracey Wright * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D.J. White | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Errek Suhr | 18 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Roderick Wilmont | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Ewing Jr. | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Sean Kline | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris * | 39 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Ron Coleman * | 36 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| G. Brown * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Sherrod Harrell * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Hunter * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Andrews | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Petway | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Sims | 22 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Dani Wohl | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter