Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.8% | 99.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +18 (84-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Polk * | 34 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Drejaj * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Luke Meyer * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ian Vouyoukas * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Vas'shun Newborne * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| I. Ohanon | 32 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Danny Brown | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Bryce Husak | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Garcia * | 30 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Ellis Myles * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 28 | - |
| Larry O'Bannon * | 27 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Juan Palacios * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Taquan Dean * | 23 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Laudermill | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Otis George | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Lorrenzo Wade | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Perrin Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brad Gianiny | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terrance Farley | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Current | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter