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2005-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 2.6% 97.4% -
Bradley-Terry 89.9% 10.1% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.0% 72.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Log Adjusted 1.6% 98.4% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +21 (91-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Dewitz * 31 7-15 2-3 0-1 4 2 0 2 5 16 4 -
J.S. Nash * 31 3-4 0-0 1-3 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
L. Hurd * 29 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
D. Lucas * 26 6-15 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 5 15 3 -
K. Jeffers * 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Fontenet 25 6-11 4-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 16 10 -
C. Stephens 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 5 4 -
S. Cuic 17 2-8 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 1 0 7 4 -
H. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
V. Remmers 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Jones 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Derek Potter 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Stoudamire * 29 10-16 9-14 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 31 16 -
I. Radenovic * 27 4-8 2-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 10 11 -
C. Frye * 26 4-9 0-0 7-9 11 4 1 0 1 15 21 -
H. Adams * 24 6-12 1-2 0-0 10 1 5 2 2 13 17 -
M. Shakur * 24 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 5 1 0 1 3 5 -
C. Rodgers 15 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -
J. McClellan 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
K. Walters 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 4 3 -
D. Dillon 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Fox 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Peck 7 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Verdejo 6 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
B. Brielmaier 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter