Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -11 (57-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ager * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Anderson * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| S. Brown * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| P. Davis * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 15 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Hill | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Torbert | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Trannon | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tim Bograkos | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Rowley | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Naymick | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Teague * | 37 | 6-18 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| B. McKnight * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Heber * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Landry * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Hartley * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Ford | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Davis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Ware | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| X. Price | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter