Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Nicholls Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nicholls Colonels +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.