Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -10 (65-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 40 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| L. Head * | 38 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Brown * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| R. Powell * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Ingram | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nick Smith | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| W. Carter | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Haluska * | 38 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| J. Horner * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Henderson * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Reed | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Thomas | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Thompson | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter