Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.