Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +4 (59-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cage * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. Burrell * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Doellman * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Finn * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| B. Thornton * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Duncan | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Jackson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Caudle | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Odia | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Christiansen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Alvarez * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Scott * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| N. Plummer * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| W. Williams * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Jones * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| B. Roberts | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Meacham | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Bennett | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Binnie | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Cripe | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Stafford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter