Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✓ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.