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2005-02-19

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% -
Log Adjusted 38.3% 61.7% -

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Marentez 38 5-10 3-8 3-3 6 5 2 0 2 16 17 -
R. Moore 28 4-10 0-4 3-4 3 1 0 0 4 11 1 -
F. Abdelsamad 25 3-9 1-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 7 -3 -
J. Stearns 24 3-7 2-5 1-2 1 4 1 0 0 9 8 -
P. Rasmussen 24 2-5 1-3 0-0 7 3 1 0 0 5 11 -
T. Juillerat 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Butts 15 6-7 0-0 0-3 1 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
R. Ehsan 11 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
J. Carlyle 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Schwarz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Warmerdam 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Schraeder 36 3-9 1-4 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
A. Fitzgerald 34 4-8 2-3 4-6 3 6 1 0 4 14 12 -
J. Gloger 31 6-9 0-0 8-12 8 3 1 1 1 20 23 -
G. Ethington 29 3-9 0-0 4-4 8 3 1 1 0 10 14 -
N. Campbell 27 4-6 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
D. Fells 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
S. Armstrong 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
A. Metelski 9 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
P. Sanders 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
D. Baker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter