Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marentez | 38 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| R. Moore | 28 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| F. Abdelsamad | 25 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| J. Stearns | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Butts | 15 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Carlyle | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Schraeder | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Gloger | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| G. Ethington | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| N. Campbell | 27 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Fells | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Metelski | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Sanders | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Baker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter