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2005-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% -
Log Adjusted 25.5% 74.5% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 38 8-19 1-4 3-4 4 5 1 1 0 20 12 -
D. Townes * 31 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 1 2 8 8 -
J. Modica * 27 4-6 1-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 10 4 -
O. Famutimi * 19 3-5 1-2 3-6 3 0 3 0 2 10 9 -
C. Thomas * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Ferguson 31 2-6 2-4 0-2 2 3 1 0 3 6 3 -
R. Sullivan 29 1-1 0-0 6-6 6 0 0 4 1 8 16 -
S. Hill 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Jefferson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Michael Jones 2 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore * 34 4-7 2-4 10-10 2 13 2 0 1 20 29 -
C. Smith * 32 3-8 1-4 1-2 4 4 0 0 0 8 8 -
S. Foster * 30 10-17 5-10 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 25 10 -
J. Holwerda * 28 4-6 0-0 2-3 6 2 2 0 2 10 12 -
J. Terrell * 25 0-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 3 2 4 -
D. Przybyszewski 14 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
T. Skuchas 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
D. Cage 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
D. Carroll 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Gordon 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Hammond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Metcalfe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter