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2005-02-19

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 91.2% 8.8% -
Bradley-Terry 71.2% 28.8% -
Margin 83.3% 16.7% -8.8 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 71.7% 28.3% -
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.1% 9.9% -
Log Adjusted 90.2% 9.8% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -22 (63-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown * 35 7-12 4-7 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 18 16 -
R. Gay * 32 4-10 1-5 1-2 4 6 0 1 1 10 10 -
M. Williams * 31 4-9 3-4 0-0 2 9 0 0 2 11 11 -
J. Boone * 30 8-10 0-0 5-7 7 0 1 4 2 21 21 -
C. Villanueva * 27 8-12 0-1 5-5 11 2 1 1 2 21 22 -
R. Thompson 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Kellogg 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 -
E. Nelson 11 0-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Mulchrone 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 1 4 -
A. Ravelli 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Ameziane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Webb * 34 5-11 3-6 2-2 2 2 2 0 2 15 8 -
O. Bailey * 25 4-11 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 8 5 -
B. Joynes * 24 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 3 1 4 4 -
Q. Douby * 20 2-10 0-3 1-1 1 2 1 1 0 5 0 -
J. Wiggan * 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 4 3 -
R. Shields 27 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 3 -1 -
M. Quezada 21 5-8 2-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 3 12 10 -
D. Waterstradt 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
J. Inglis 13 3-4 0-0 2-4 5 0 1 1 0 8 11 -
S. Keating 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter