Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +16 (94-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Power * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| O. Harper * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Edmondson * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| L. Roberts * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Campbell * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Frazier | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Ervin | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| W. Morgan | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Boler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. McTiller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hayes * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 27 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| R. Rondo * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| R. Morris * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| R. Bradley | 18 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Moss | 15 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Crawford | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Perry | 11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Adetula | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Carrier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Stockton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter