Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +5 (93-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 38 | 8-24 | 2-7 | 10-14 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 9 | - |
| M. Thomas | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Manker | 27 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Camara | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 24 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| C. Walton | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Sharper | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Hudson | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Morris | 45 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 | - |
| J. Smith | 39 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| M. Williams | 39 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| S. Morris | 36 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| M. Nelson | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| S. Creason | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| N. Ball | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Thomasson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Verwers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter