Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +19 (71-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.