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2005-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.3% 67.7% -
Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Log Adjusted 15.3% 84.7% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +10 (66-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hairston * 38 7-16 3-6 1-4 11 1 0 1 4 18 11 -
A. Brooks * 36 7-14 1-7 2-3 6 5 0 0 6 17 8 -
B. Taylor * 30 2-8 2-6 1-2 4 2 1 0 4 7 2 -
J. Kent * 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
M. Platt * 19 1-1 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 0 3 3 3 -
R. Schafer 21 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
M. Leunen 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Lincoln 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Oguchi 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Diogu * 40 9-15 0-0 5-11 9 0 0 1 0 23 18 -
K. Kruger * 36 0-6 0-6 4-5 3 4 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Angounou * 29 1-8 0-0 2-2 12 1 2 1 2 4 10 -
B. Krueger * 19 2-8 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 -2 -
J. Braxton * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 6 -
S. Moore 26 9-16 2-9 2-2 4 0 2 0 1 22 11 -
T. Jackson 22 1-5 0-1 2-3 3 4 3 0 0 4 9 -
A. Morill 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter