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2005-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 55.9% 44.1% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +9.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Log Adjusted 18.3% 81.7% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Preston 36 3-10 1-3 5-6 5 3 1 0 4 12 7 -
B. Loscalzo 34 3-8 2-3 5-5 3 1 3 0 3 13 9 -
J. Boswell 24 3-7 3-5 2-2 0 0 2 0 2 11 4 -
D. Cuff 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
M. Montgomery 17 1-7 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -4 -
B. Nwachukwu 16 2-3 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 2 1 8 10 -
A. Peeples 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
T. Hill 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 2 0 -
J. Baumann 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
C. Davis 9 3-3 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
M. Land 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Norman 34 1-4 0-2 1-4 3 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
M. Stehle 34 4-6 1-2 7-8 12 3 1 2 4 16 24 -
B. Cusworth 32 8-11 0-0 2-3 4 2 4 4 4 18 17 -
J. Goffredo 26 4-8 4-6 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
D. Giovacchini 25 3-5 1-1 3-4 0 2 3 0 6 10 4 -
M. Beal 18 1-4 0-0 7-8 6 4 2 0 1 9 16 -
K. Rogus 17 3-10 2-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 -2 -
G. Beatty 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Z. Martin 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter