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2005-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.3% 38.7% -
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% -
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +13 (56-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Savage 35 6-11 4-7 2-2 6 1 0 2 0 18 16 -
S. Greenman 34 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 3 2 -
W. Venable 33 0-5 0-3 2-4 1 0 0 0 3 2 -5 -
M. Schafer 28 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 -
M. Stephens 25 4-7 1-2 1-2 4 2 0 2 0 10 11 -
L. Owings 24 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
J. Wallace 15 0-4 0-1 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
Andre Logan 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 2 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Draughan 34 8-12 0-0 4-5 4 5 0 0 5 20 12 -
D. Martin 32 2-4 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
A. Gamboa 29 1-5 1-3 1-2 1 2 3 0 1 4 4 -
C. Holmes 28 2-3 2-2 4-4 2 0 1 1 1 10 10 -
E. Flato 24 3-4 1-1 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
N. Holmes 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Kaplan 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 2 7 -
C. Hughes 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Upshaw 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter