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2005-02-17

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 71.9% 28.1% -
Bradley-Terry 7.2% 92.8% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +49.4 (51.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -2 (56-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Riley 38 8-18 4-8 4-6 9 1 1 0 1 24 16 -
J. Cox 38 5-20 2-8 2-3 7 4 1 2 2 14 6 -
J. Gumbs 31 3-9 1-4 1-4 5 0 5 0 2 8 7 -
N. Pierce 24 1-9 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 4 1 2 7 -
J. Gaines 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Andre Hazel 14 0-2 0-0 6-7 0 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
J. Dukes 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
F. Czerny 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Ingerson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 36 3-7 2-5 6-6 4 1 2 0 4 14 10 -
B. Sullivan 31 3-7 0-0 6-8 7 0 0 3 6 12 9 -
D. Wilson 30 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 2 6 -
M. Lewis 29 1-11 0-0 1-4 14 0 1 1 2 3 6 -
D. Cooper 22 2-10 1-5 4-4 1 2 1 0 2 9 1 -
J. Dominguez 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 2 2 -
K. Aaker 15 3-3 3-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
A. Gahlmann 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
D. Vance 8 1-4 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter