Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 2 | - |
| M. Moss | 29 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Durham | 29 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| L. Ball | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Beye | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Miller | 17 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| T. Pratt | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Holmes | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Woodall | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Durr | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Golob | 31 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| K. Feuerbach | 29 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Sir | 25 | 4-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. Landry | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Stevens | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| S. Garnett | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Hill | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Mahr | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Hooks | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Meynen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Lyon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter