Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Duke | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| W. Emerson | 26 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| E. McDonnell | 26 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Coleman | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Dinkins | 22 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| T. McCurry | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| K. Cruz | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Alacqua | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Walker | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Dolan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Aaron | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Pfohl | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Yelle | 34 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| J. Peppers | 33 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Nash | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| W. Bakanowsky | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Rose | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Gill | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Picow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Smidebush | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter