Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors -2 (48-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.