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2005-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 49.6% 50.4% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.9% 14.1% -
Log Adjusted 86.0% 14.0% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ellis Myles * 34 3-10 0-0 2-4 12 0 2 1 1 8 12 -
L. O'Bannon * 33 5-8 1-3 4-4 7 3 0 1 0 15 18 -
F. Garcia * 31 8-17 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 18 2 -
J. Palacios * 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
T. Laudermill * 25 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
T. Dean 23 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 3 0 -
O. George 19 2-3 0-0 6-7 4 1 3 0 0 10 15 -
L. Wade 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
T. Farley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Diener * 38 2-16 1-10 4-5 5 11 1 0 5 9 5 -
J. Chapman * 36 4-8 3-6 0-2 3 2 1 0 0 11 9 -
S. Novak * 35 3-6 3-6 5-5 3 2 0 1 2 14 12 -
T. Townsend * 31 5-10 1-4 1-1 4 1 2 2 0 12 11 -
M. Jackson * 28 1-2 0-0 1-5 7 0 0 1 1 3 8 -
D. Mason 15 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
R. Amoroso 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
C. Grimm 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter