Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.9% | 23.1% | -6.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ewing * | 38 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| S. Williams * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Redick * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| S. Randolph * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Nelson * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Dockery | 35 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| R. Love | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A. Green * | 39 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Carlos Dixon * | 38 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Z. Dowdell * | 37 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Washington * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. King | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Tucker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cooke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Calloway | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Krabbendam | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter