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2005-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 94.2% 5.8% -
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% -
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +25 (92-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks * 36 2-6 1-1 5-7 7 6 2 0 10 10 9 -
M. Hairston * 35 10-12 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 21 14 -
B. Taylor * 29 6-13 3-6 0-0 0 1 1 2 1 15 5 -
J. Kent * 27 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
M. Leunen * 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
R. Schafer 19 2-2 0-0 3-6 5 0 1 0 2 7 9 -
C. Oguchi 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 -2 -
M. Platt 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Lincoln 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Zahn 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Love 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Stelly 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Stoudamire * 34 7-14 4-6 4-4 1 1 1 0 1 22 10 -
C. Frye * 28 8-14 0-0 3-3 5 2 1 7 1 19 19 -
I. Radenovic * 27 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 2 7 -
H. Adams * 27 7-11 0-0 3-4 4 5 2 1 3 17 15 -
M. Shakur * 23 2-8 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 1 3 5 0 -
C. Rodgers 29 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 9 3 0 0 11 19 -
J. McClellan 14 3-5 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
K. Walters 7 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
I. Fox 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Brielmaier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Verdejo 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Peck 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Dillon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter