Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +23 (88-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Titchenal | 31 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| J. Henry | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Whiten | 25 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | -2 | - |
| A. Haskins | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| G. Jones | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| P. Johnson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. McGinn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Locke | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Heard | 25 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| I. Boylan | 25 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Smith | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. White | 22 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Caracciolo | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Washington | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Cook | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Okwudibonye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Frazier | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter