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Drake Bulldogs 60
@
Northern Iowa Panthers 61
2005-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 ✓ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% - ✓
Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.6% 87.4% - ✓

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +1 (61-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Korver 30 4-7 3-6 1-2 8 1 1 0 1 12 14 -
C. Brooks 28 3-6 1-2 1-1 2 5 1 0 3 8 7 -
P. Eggers 27 1-8 0-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 2 0 -
L. Randolph 26 3-9 0-3 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 6 2 -
N. Works 23 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 2 2 7 10 -
N. Grant 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 7 5 -
S. Tracy 20 2-5 1-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 4 6 2 -
C. Bryant 19 3-11 3-10 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 9 2 -
D. Bancroft 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 3 1 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Jacobson 37 5-10 1-5 0-0 6 3 1 0 3 11 8 -
E. Crawford 36 5-9 2-3 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 12 10 -
G. Stout 33 2-7 0-1 8-11 7 1 1 4 1 12 17 -
Chris Foster 27 3-7 0-2 1-1 1 4 0 0 4 7 1 -
J. Little 26 3-5 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
E. Coleman 17 3-7 0-0 0-2 3 0 2 1 1 6 4 -
B. McKowen 14 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 2 1 0 2 1 -1 -
J. Godfread 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Viet 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter