Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -7 (59-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Brooks | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Tatum | 32 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| S. Hairston | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| M. Shaw | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Josh Warren | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Falker | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Owen | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Dale | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Young | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Greene | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. Alexander | 32 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Guidry | 32 | 4-18 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -8 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| N. Plank | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Ford | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Ford | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter