Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Hudson * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| B. Balla * | 36 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Bass * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 30 | - |
| G. Davis * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| R. Neltner | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| X. Whipple | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Lazare | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Power * | 35 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| O. Harper * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| L. Roberts * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Campbell * | 14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| W. Frazier | 24 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Slater | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| W. Morgan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Boler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter