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2005-02-16

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% -
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell * 37 2-8 0-4 4-7 1 2 4 0 3 8 4 -
A. Hudson * 36 5-12 0-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 11 2 -
B. Balla * 36 4-10 2-5 1-3 5 7 2 0 4 11 11 -
B. Bass * 31 7-11 0-0 7-8 17 1 2 3 3 21 30 -
G. Davis * 28 8-11 0-0 3-6 9 1 1 2 2 19 19 -
R. Neltner 16 2-3 1-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
X. Whipple 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Lazare 5 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shane Power * 35 7-12 5-6 1-1 4 1 1 0 3 20 11 -
O. Harper * 32 4-11 1-4 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 11 3 -
L. Roberts * 31 6-14 0-0 1-6 14 2 0 2 3 13 14 -
G. Ervin * 27 2-6 0-0 2-4 0 5 0 0 3 6 2 -
M. Campbell * 14 2-8 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
W. Frazier 24 3-7 2-6 3-4 5 3 0 0 1 11 11 -
J. Edmondson 16 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Slater 9 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 2 0 2 1 -1 -
W. Sharpe 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
W. Morgan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Boler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter