Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sommerville | 39 | 5-17 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 34 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Crouch | 32 | 2-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| P. O'Bryant | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Wright | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| T. Bennett | 19 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Tauai | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Rembert | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Stemler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Adams | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucious Wagner | 39 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 36 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| M. Webster | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Strickland | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Burton | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| J. Petty | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Gore | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Ottens | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter