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2005-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% -
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +9 (72-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 38 4-13 1-4 2-4 2 3 1 0 4 11 0 -
D. Townes * 37 7-14 0-0 0-2 12 0 0 0 2 14 10 -
J. Modica * 27 6-7 2-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 16 11 -
C. Thomas * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Famutimi 27 4-9 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 9 4 -
E. Ferguson 26 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 8 2 -
S. Hill 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
R. Sullivan 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
D. Jefferson 5 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Davis * 37 7-9 0-1 7-13 6 1 4 2 3 21 22 -
J. Roberson * 37 5-11 0-2 8-12 5 2 0 1 2 18 13 -
R. Steele * 36 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 5 5 -
E. Shelton * 35 6-12 3-7 4-5 1 1 1 0 1 19 9 -
J. Davidson * 24 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 1 3 5 6 -
E. Brock 20 1-1 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 0 3 4 8 -
J. Felix 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter