Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✗ (43.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -37 (49-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.