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2005-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 (24.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% -
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +26 (76-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 40 5-17 3-8 2-2 2 4 0 0 5 15 -1 -
G. Brown * 29 2-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
S. Harrell * 29 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 -1 -
R. Coleman * 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
C. Hunter * 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
C. Sims 26 6-10 1-1 3-5 8 0 1 3 1 16 17 -
A. Bell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Petway 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Andrews 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
D. Wohl 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J.C. Mathis 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Wilkinson * 30 8-12 0-1 6-7 9 0 1 2 0 22 22 -
C. Hanson * 28 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 6 6 -
A. Tucker * 25 4-7 0-1 2-2 7 2 1 0 0 10 13 -
Sharif Chambliss * 22 1-5 1-3 0-4 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
A. Helmigk * 13 0-2 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
K. Taylor 22 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 5 0 0 2 2 6 -
J. Parker 20 4-8 2-2 2-5 2 4 1 0 0 12 11 -
R. Nixon 18 4-4 2-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 10 11 -
J. Chappell 8 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Flowers 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 3 3 -
G. Stiemsma 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
T. Bronson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter