Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (85-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. McLean * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Bannister * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | - |
| E. Brown * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| G. Forbes | 30 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Cain | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Soroye | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Minter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Campbell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| H. Nacey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Forkin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McCants * | 34 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| A. Roche * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| S. May * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 14 | - |
| E. Arriaran * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Manuel * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Scott | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Noel | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Hooker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Terry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Holley | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| B. Foster | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Everett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter