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2005-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 68.6% 31.4% -
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% -
Margin 68.2% 31.8% -4.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 18.3% 81.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% -
Log Adjusted 15.0% 85.0% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bruce * 40 9-16 3-7 5-6 4 1 2 0 4 26 13 -
R. Biggers * 37 1-4 0-2 2-2 8 1 0 0 2 4 7 -
T. Bush * 31 3-11 0-2 0-2 6 5 2 1 2 6 7 -
T. Swanson * 27 3-7 0-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 4 7 -1 -
R. Hurd * 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
P. Fields 25 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Shepherd 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 3 0 0 4 -
K. Shipman 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Conley * 31 4-7 3-5 3-5 9 2 4 0 3 14 19 -
L. Kleiza * 30 4-11 0-1 1-5 3 1 1 0 0 9 3 -
J. Horton * 30 5-6 2-3 3-4 3 0 1 0 3 15 10 -
J. McKinney * 29 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 4 5 -
K. Young * 26 4-7 0-0 3-5 9 0 0 1 3 11 11 -
C. Evans 26 0-8 0-5 1-2 1 4 1 0 3 1 -4 -
M. Brown 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Grimes 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 6 7 -
G. Dandridge 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Dailey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter