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2005-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 78.8% 21.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% -
Margin 63.0% 37.0% -2.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 60.2% 39.8% -
Efficiency 94.2% 5.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% -
Log Adjusted 85.6% 14.4% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hayes * 36 0-5 0-1 1-3 9 0 1 2 2 1 6 -
M. Kennedy * 36 6-10 1-4 3-5 5 2 1 1 5 16 10 -
P. Sparks * 26 2-9 1-6 1-2 4 2 2 0 2 6 3 -
R. Rondo * 25 2-5 1-2 2-2 3 3 2 3 3 7 10 -
R. Morris * 24 3-8 0-0 4-6 8 0 1 0 2 10 9 -
R. Moss 16 3-6 1-4 5-7 2 1 1 1 2 12 9 -
R. Bradley 14 2-4 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
B. Perry 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Crawford 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Carrier 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Adetula 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
L. Obrzut 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kinsey * 30 6-12 5-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 17 10 -
C. Powell * 26 4-12 0-1 6-11 6 2 2 1 2 14 11 -
C. Goree * 24 1-4 0-2 2-5 0 4 1 1 4 4 2 -
R. Balkman * 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 2 6 -
J. Chappell * 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
A. Tisby 23 6-10 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 1 0 13 11 -
R. Trice 21 1-4 0-2 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
J. Gonner 20 1-3 0-1 3-6 3 3 2 0 3 5 7 -
B. Wallace 16 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 0 8 10 -
D. Day 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. McDowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter