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2005-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alvin Green 36 4-14 3-5 2-4 4 3 4 0 4 13 6 -
J. Leasure 27 5-16 3-9 3-4 4 2 0 0 2 16 4 -
N. Nichols 26 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
P. Paelay 24 4-12 1-4 2-4 2 0 1 1 0 11 3 -
C. Nagel 24 1-6 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Sonko 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
J. Burley 17 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
N. Weledji 14 1-3 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 1 0 2 7 -
C. Stevens 14 1-3 1-2 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 5 5 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Blair 36 2-8 0-4 2-4 4 1 1 1 2 6 3 -
D. Dees 31 10-18 1-4 5-6 7 3 0 3 0 26 21 -
B. Woodson 29 0-4 0-1 0-1 7 10 0 0 5 0 8 -
Glyn Turner 29 5-8 0-0 1-3 5 3 0 0 3 11 8 -
L. Lightbourne 27 4-6 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 11 11 -
E. Risher 19 2-3 1-2 5-6 1 0 0 0 3 10 5 -
R. Robinson 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 1 0 3 8 -
R. Porter 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Stewart 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -

* = starter