Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +1 (50-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nelson | 35 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Morris | 34 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 27 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Morris | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Creason | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| P. Thomasson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Patterson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hall | 38 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Ainge | 37 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Balderson | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C. Miles | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Dawes | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Jensen | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Rose | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Young | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter