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2005-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% -
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% -
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Krauser * 38 5-13 4-7 1-2 6 5 2 0 4 15 11 -
Chevon Troutman * 35 2-2 0-0 16-20 10 1 0 0 3 20 26 -
A. Graves * 30 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 9 5 -
A. Bishop * 29 6-8 0-0 2-4 10 2 0 0 3 14 15 -
L. Kendall * 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
R. Ramon 24 1-7 1-7 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Gray 10 0-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 2 -1 -
Mark McCarroll 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Benjamin 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. DeGroat 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McNamara * 40 5-21 3-13 3-4 2 10 4 0 3 16 8 -
H. Warrick * 35 4-10 0-2 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 12 6 -
J. Pace * 33 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Forth * 21 2-5 0-0 3-4 10 1 0 0 1 7 12 -
B. Edelin * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. McCroskey 32 7-13 2-5 2-3 7 1 1 0 2 18 12 -
T. Roberts 19 4-5 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 2 2 9 11 -
D. Nichols 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
D. Watkins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter