Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dlouhy | 33 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Davis | 32 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| K. Criswell | 30 | 3-10 | 0-7 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. Martin | 27 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Seyfert | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Strait | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Lynch | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| V. Matthews | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Easley | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Farr | 4 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Thierry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ball | 38 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| M. Moss | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. Miller | 32 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Durham | 21 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| A. Beye | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Pratt | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Durr | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Holmes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Woodall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter