Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. White | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Naylor | 32 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| R. Adams | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Z. Allison | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| L. Burroughs | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Oupoh | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Canady | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Millsap | 31 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| R. Posey | 31 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A. Owens | 29 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| D. President | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Harbert | 22 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Fuqua | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Selvage | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Attaway | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A. Donlon | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Hall | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter