Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.