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2005-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +3.0 (8.0 off)

Actual: Samford Bulldogs +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Reed 29 4-8 0-1 3-3 3 1 0 0 2 11 5 -
C. McKnight 28 3-5 0-0 1-1 5 2 2 0 4 7 7 -
Q. Smith 25 2-7 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 4 -2 -
R. Kelly 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
O. Towers-Solis 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
K. Hankins 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 0 -
T. Stevens 17 3-5 0-1 2-3 5 0 2 0 4 8 6 -
J. True 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 2 1 -
R. Walters 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Hottell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. West 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Robert Merritt 31 4-12 3-9 2-2 1 3 3 1 1 13 8 -
J. Smith 23 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 5 10 -
R. Gulina 22 5-7 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 12 9 -
Josh Hare 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 5 2 0 1 0 7 -
B. Boerjan 21 6-6 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 14 14 -
J. Mills 19 3-4 3-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 9 10 -
J. Merritt 19 3-5 2-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 9 10 -
R. Woolsey 16 2-3 1-2 4-4 1 0 1 2 0 9 10 -
C. West 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
T. Peterson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. LoPiano 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Green 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter