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2005-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +4.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% -
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 36 5-16 3-10 2-2 4 1 2 0 4 15 2 -
D. Wilson 31 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 4 5 -
D. Cooper 27 6-9 6-9 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 21 15 -
B. Sullivan 25 1-4 0-1 4-4 5 2 1 0 5 6 5 -
M. Lewis 23 6-14 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 1 1 13 9 -
A. Gahlmann 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
K. Aaker 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Dominguez 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Vance 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
S. Watson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Acker 36 6-12 3-4 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 15 11 -
G. McGowan 34 4-13 1-3 5-7 7 4 0 0 2 14 10 -
Y. Diawara 32 8-15 0-1 7-9 8 0 2 0 2 23 16 -
M. Lea 31 1-3 0-1 1-3 2 4 4 0 3 3 7 -
K. Costain 30 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 3 1 -
R. Hicks 26 6-10 0-0 2-3 6 2 1 8 0 14 21 -
C. Roush 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Griffin 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Henry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter