Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Crawford | 38 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Jacobson | 36 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| G. Stout | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| E. Coleman | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Chris Foster | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Little | 19 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. McKowen | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Godfread | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Pete Schmit | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Santos | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Alexander | 36 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Guidry | 36 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Vince Greene | 29 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Plank | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Ford | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Ford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter