Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tucker * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Mike Wilkinson * | 32 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Taylor * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| C. Hanson * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sharif Chambliss * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Parker | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| R. Nixon | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Flowers | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Helmigk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 39 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 38 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| L. Head * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 12-13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 21 | - |
| D. Brown * | 26 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Powell * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. McBride | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Ingram | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nick Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter